Monday, 24 February 2020

What does the future hold for the petrochemical industry?


The future is brighter than ever.
When they fist discovered crude oil, they studied it to find all the different uses they could come up with it in such diverse fields as fertilisers, plastics and medicines. Look around you, there is probably nothing in your environment that doesn’t have some connection with oil - not just the freight component. And the report came to the conclusion that it was far too valuable to burn as fuel.
So what did we do? We burned it as fuel.
To me, it’s like saying
Right people, we have a million dollars in notes here, what are we going to do with it?”
Let’s set it on fire and keep warm for a short while. Yay!”
Really?
Just think about it: the petrochemical companies spend a fortune each year turning crude oil into fuel and then shipping it hundreds of miles to thousands of garages spread all over the country for people to buy at a pittance of a profit per can of crude oil. Yet, they could get rid of all that costly infrastructure and make a more valuable product that is easier to ship because the smaller number of outlets and so make more money for less expense.
But they don’t.
Why not? Well, it’s the classic problem: the petrochemical companies make massive profits every year by selling it as fuel, so why should they bother to do any more work to earn more money? They stll get their bonuses by supporting the status quo. Also, national governments actively want them to continue because they’re the ones making most of the money from fuel sales through taxes. Where I live, for every £1 I spend on fuel, the government gets about 60p. And that’s (allegedly) without the 25% VAT they pay on mainland UK.
So, what’s the future going to bring?
As oil becomes less abundant, the petrochemical companies will be forced to raise the price of fuel products making them less competitive in the market place. The first to go is industry. They are already being forced to drop oil-based fuels by their competitors who have already moved into cheaper, more efficient alternative energy sources. Later, consumers will follow when they start to see other people make savings on their travel expenses. This will lead to a drop in demand (as is happening now) making it less attractive for them to turn this valuable resource into fuel. At that point, they may get off their lazy arses, dust off one a gazillion reports that show how to use oil in a useful way to improve life (that just so happens to be more profitable) and they will stop making fuel.
Then, they may even start investing in businesses like mine who have technologies for turning plastics - all plastics, including the stuff that can’t be recycled at the moment - back into oil using passive solar ovens. So, they will actually pay to help clean up plastic pollution because the plastic is worth more as (say) medicines.
I reckon in a 100 years time, they’re going to look back on the 20th and early 21st century as the Dark Ages of Petrochemical Use where they look upon us with pity for being little more than cavemen banging rocks together.

Credit: The header image is available as wallpaper from wall.alphacoders.com

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